Asteroid’s Earth Impact Odds Plummet, Scientists Now Playing the Long Wait Game – BitRss

You can breathe now, the Earth isn’t going to end by an asteroid hit—yet.

Astronomers monitoring a potentially catastrophic asteroid have seen its odds of hitting Earth drop dramatically, as new observations refined its predicted trajectory.

The impact probability of asteroid 2024 YR4 has fallen from 2.8% to just 0.16%, according to the latest data from the European Space Agency’s Near-Earth Object Coordination Centre. This significant reduction comes after refined orbital calculations based on recent observations narrowed the “uncertainty window” of its path.

Despite the lower odds, scientists can’t completely rule out a collision. The asteroid, estimated to be between 130–300 feet wide (40–90 meters), could potentially hit Earth on Dec. 22, 2032. An impact from an object this size—comparable to the one that caused the